Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 179.867858 208.499333 241.407965 282.299002 332.117191 391.317149 467.703175
2025-08-10 139.835485 175.168451 219.975020 281.956057 367.069458 482.282866 654.390192
2025-08-17 118.553712 156.584544 208.220720 285.381975 401.252826 574.857498 867.255630
2025-08-24 103.052010 141.696062 196.995972 284.828396 426.671919 658.125958 1091.218029
2025-08-31 91.669855 130.300023 188.057345 284.685486 450.959347 743.902357 1348.590702
2025-09-07 83.968073 122.961927 183.625017 290.100442 484.624761 853.774101 1694.737299
2025-09-14 74.388655 111.361797 170.610329 278.450523 484.787280 900.031544 1925.317642
2025-09-21 68.492398 104.842411 164.872955 278.305110 506.110985 994.302013 2311.754469
2025-09-28 63.858353 99.804449 160.874830 280.469551 532.209048 1106.398563 2803.718532
2025-10-05 62.159694 99.467113 164.933960 298.550958 595.820776 1326.858949 3749.024217
2025-10-12 60.342592 98.676809 167.992944 315.078279 660.156146 1574.003708 4977.917757
2025-10-19 56.665093 94.160051 163.486954 314.967106 685.093244 1723.812125 5979.453376
2025-10-26 53.661028 90.932057 161.760073 322.264986 735.122301 1984.104816 7801.700849
2025-11-02 50.118849 86.384474 156.970200 322.161437 767.158909 2209.832166 9814.322089
2025-11-09 47.371121 83.049499 154.186220 326.224605 812.393165 2508.806966 12770.493575
2025-11-16 44.513494 79.194874 149.806598 325.572947 843.956448 2778.600386 16133.265710
2025-11-23 41.996352 75.764623 145.902323 325.404434 877.367760 3080.623859 20548.346305
2025-11-30 40.214098 73.645952 144.600759 331.796058 934.737149 3533.103778 27862.616106
2025-12-07 37.188636 68.686585 136.363341 318.050937 919.240903 3630.626906 31788.172540
2025-12-14 35.351762 66.067011 133.198879 317.879515 952.759870 4010.500850 41140.949108
2025-12-21 33.842126 64.010294 131.111372 320.431465 997.856779 4498.982463 55289.778679
2025-12-28 33.529460 64.504549 135.135584 341.780282 1125.754790 5631.837838 92993.065258
2026-01-04 33.074860 64.639154 138.303283 361.340011 1256.599882 6979.213957 159937.574823